Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins Top Bet |
74%
±7%
|
1.15 | -14.4% |
| Draw |
17%
±4%
|
7.03 | +22.3% |
| Willem II wins |
8%
±4%
|
12.01 | -1.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Willem II
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
Willem II
Shots
24.4
5.8
Shots On Target
7.6
2.4
Corners
8.6
1.0
Fouls
7.4
7.8
Yellow Cards
0.8
0.8
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
5Draws
1Willem II Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | Ajax Win | 1:2 | Eredivisie |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:0 | Eredivisie |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Ajax Win | 0:1 | Eredivisie |
| 2 Dec 2021 | Ajax Win | 5:0 | Eredivisie |
| 28 Jan 2021 | Ajax Win | 3:1 | Eredivisie |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | For Sittard | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Telstar | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | SC Telstar | 0:4 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Heerenveen | - | - |
Willem II - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Excelsior | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Heerenveen | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Nijmegen | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | - | - |