Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland wins |
72%
±19%
|
1.32 | -5.5% |
| Draw |
19%
±9%
|
4.27 | -20.8% |
| Estonia wins |
10%
±11%
|
8.47 | -17.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Iceland
Estonia
Head-to-Head History
Iceland Wins
1Draws
3Estonia Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 15 Jan 2019 | Draw | 0:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 31 Mar 2015 | Draw | 1:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 4 Jun 2014 | Iceland Win | 1:0 | UEFA Nations League |
Iceland - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Haiti | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Canada | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Mexico | 4:0 | L |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Northern Ireland | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Scotland | 1:3 | W |
Estonia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 | Cyprus | 2:4 | W |
| 9 Sep 2025 | Andorra | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jun 2024 | Switzerland | 4:0 | L |
| 26 Mar 2024 | Finland | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Mar 2024 | Poland | 5:1 | L |