Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
0:2
AZ Alkmaar to win
Our Prediction
Missed
40.1%
Ajax to win
±15%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
40.11%
±15.03%
|
2.00 | -19.8% |
| Draw |
29.44%
±2.49%
|
3.85 | +13.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
30.46%
±13.17%
|
3.40 | +3.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
16.5
18.8
Shots On Target
7.0
6.2
Corners
6.5
6.1
Fouls
12.1
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
3.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
14.2
9.5
Shots On Target
5.1
3.8
Corners
5.8
2.6
Fouls
10.0
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
2Draws
3AZ Alkmaar Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:0 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:2 |
| 6 May 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | NAC Breda | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Zwolle | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Volendam | 1:1 | D |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Feyenoord | 3:3 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | W |