Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
48.79%
±14.56%
|
1.69 | -17.8% |
| Draw |
27.94%
±3.79%
|
4.10 | +14.6% |
| Groningen wins |
23.27%
±11.08%
|
4.47 | +3.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Groningen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ajax
Groningen
Shots
12.8
16.7
Shots On Target
5.1
6.5
Corners
4.9
6.3
Fouls
11.2
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
Groningen
Shots
19.0
8.8
Shots On Target
7.1
3.5
Corners
6.1
2.4
Fouls
7.9
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
6Draws
1Groningen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Ajax Win | 3:1 |
| 14 May 2023 | Ajax Win | 2:3 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Ajax Win | 6:1 |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Ajax Win | 1:3 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Excelsior | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Utrecht | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Twente | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 0:2 | L |
Groningen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:0 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Twente | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 1:2 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0:2 | L |