Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
47.32%
±14.74%
|
1.78 | -16.0% |
| Draw |
27.41%
±3.39%
|
4.27 | +16.9% |
| Nijmegen wins |
25.28%
±11.71%
|
3.90 | -1.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Nijmegen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ajax
Nijmegen
Shots
16.5
14.1
Shots On Target
6.8
5.7
Corners
4.0
4.5
Fouls
9.8
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
Nijmegen
Shots
17.4
10.6
Shots On Target
7.1
4.0
Corners
6.6
2.8
Fouls
10.9
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
5Draws
3Nijmegen Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 11 May 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 0:3 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:2 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Ajax Win | 1:2 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | For Sittard | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:2 | D |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | - | - |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Utrecht | 1:3 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heracles | 4:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:3 | W |