Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen wins |
13.18%
±8.01%
|
3.69 | -51.3% |
| Draw |
24.63%
±4.35%
|
4.14 | +1.8% |
| Ajax wins |
62.19%
±12.16%
|
1.77 | +10.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Groningen
Ajax
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Groningen
Ajax
Shots
14.5
23.8
Shots On Target
5.9
7.4
Corners
4.7
7.3
Fouls
9.0
8.6
Yellow Cards
1.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Groningen
Ajax
Shots
10.0
17.8
Shots On Target
4.1
6.8
Corners
3.0
6.0
Fouls
9.5
8.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Groningen Wins
2Draws
1Ajax Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Groningen Win | 3:1 |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Ajax Win | 2:0 |
| 14 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Ajax Win | 3:1 |
| 14 May 2023 | Ajax Win | 2:3 |
Groningen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Excelsior | 1:5 | W |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Zwolle | 3:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Twente | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | For Sittard | 2:3 | L |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Willem II | 5:1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | For Sittard | 1:5 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:3 | L |