Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
30.65%
±13.61%
|
2.37 | -27.5% |
| Draw |
31.16%
±1.69%
|
3.70 | +15.3% |
| Man City wins |
38.2%
±13.75%
|
2.75 | +5.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Man City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Liverpool
Man City
Shots
15.6
14.1
Shots On Target
4.7
4.6
Corners
6.1
5.2
Fouls
8.3
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Man City
Shots
9.7
12.8
Shots On Target
3.5
5.1
Corners
4.8
5.3
Fouls
10.7
8.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
3Draws
4Man City Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Man City Win | 3:0 |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Liverpool Win | 0:2 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:2 | D |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:0 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |