Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
49.33%
±14.53%
|
1.63 | -19.6% |
| Draw |
28.87%
±4.16%
|
4.58 | +32.1% |
| Chelsea wins |
21.8%
±10.68%
|
4.45 | -3.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Chelsea
Shots
14.7
14.7
Shots On Target
6.0
4.7
Corners
6.0
5.5
Fouls
10.4
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Chelsea
Shots
15.9
9.7
Shots On Target
5.1
3.8
Corners
5.8
2.9
Fouls
10.1
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
7Draws
2Chelsea Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Man City Win | 3:1 |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Man City Win | 0:2 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Draw | 4:4 |
| 21 May 2023 | Man City Win | 1:0 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 1:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 3:0 | W |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 0:0 | D |