Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
42.58%
±14.71%
|
1.90 | -19.1% |
| Draw |
29.94%
±3.01%
|
3.95 | +18.3% |
| Liverpool wins |
27.48%
±12.2%
|
3.65 | +0.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Liverpool
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Liverpool
Shots
13.8
15.6
Shots On Target
5.1
4.5
Corners
5.8
5.0
Fouls
8.9
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Liverpool
Shots
12.1
10.0
Shots On Target
4.7
3.7
Corners
4.7
4.3
Fouls
9.4
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
2Draws
5Liverpool Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2025 | Liverpool Win | 0:2 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Man City Win | 4:1 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 0:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Burnley | 5:1 | W |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 3:2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Man United | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Chelsea | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2:1 | L |