Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
54.3%
±14.03%
|
1.46 | -20.7% |
| Draw |
27.15%
±4.68%
|
5.00 | +35.7% |
| Newcastle wins |
18.55%
±9.58%
|
5.50 | +2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Newcastle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Newcastle
Shots
14.6
14.9
Shots On Target
4.6
4.9
Corners
5.2
8.2
Fouls
11.3
8.4
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Newcastle
Shots
17.1
8.2
Shots On Target
6.7
3.3
Corners
7.0
3.5
Fouls
7.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
7Draws
2Newcastle Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Newcastle Win | 2:1 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Man City Win | 4:0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Man City Win | 2:3 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Man City Win | 1:0 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Fulham | 3:0 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:0 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 2:3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 4:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |