English Premier League 17 Jan 2026 07:30 Match Finished

Man United vs Man City

Our Prediction Missed
52.7% Man City to win

±13%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Man United wins
18.64% ±9.94%
3.60 -32.9%
Draw
28.67% ±3.44%
3.80 +9.0%
Man City wins
52.69% ±13.02%
1.93 +1.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Man United
Man City

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Man United
Man City
Shots 19.3 15.4
Shots On Target 6.3 5.5
Corners 5.8 5.7
Fouls 11.5 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.5 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Man United
Man City
Shots 8.3 17.0
Shots On Target 3.2 6.4
Hit On Woodwork 0.0 0.0
Corners 2.8 7.1
Fouls 11.3 7.0
Free Kicks Conceded 0.0 0.0
Offsides 0.0 0.0
Yellow Cards 2.0 0.6
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Man United Wins

3

Draws

1

Man City Wins

6
Date Result Score
14 Sep 2025 Man City Win 3:0
6 Apr 2025 Draw 0:0
15 Dec 2024 Man United Win 1:2
3 Mar 2024 Man City Win 3:1
29 Oct 2023 Man City Win 0:3

Man United - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Jan 2026 Burnley 2:2 D
4 Jan 2026 Leeds 1:1 D
30 Dec 2025 Wolves 1:1 D
26 Dec 2025 Newcastle 1:0 W
21 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2:1 L

Man City - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
7 Jan 2026 Brighton 1:1 D
4 Jan 2026 Chelsea 1:1 D
1 Jan 2026 Sunderland 0:0 D
27 Dec 2025 Nott'm Forest 1:2 W
20 Dec 2025 West Ham 3:0 W