Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nijmegen wins |
34.49%
±14.22%
|
2.30 | -20.7% |
| Draw |
29.15%
±1.68%
|
3.95 | +15.1% |
| Ajax wins |
36.36%
±13.71%
|
2.69 | -2.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nijmegen
Ajax
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nijmegen
Ajax
Shots
15.2
13.0
Shots On Target
6.2
5.1
Corners
5.5
4.0
Fouls
13.0
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nijmegen
Ajax
Shots
10.0
17.1
Shots On Target
3.7
7.0
Corners
3.0
6.6
Fouls
10.4
11.3
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nijmegen Wins
1Draws
2Ajax Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 0:3 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:2 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Ajax Win | 1:2 |
| 5 Mar 2023 | Ajax Win | 1:0 |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Volendam | 2:3 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Feyenoord | 2:4 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Groningen | 2:0 | W |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 1:3 | W |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Groningen | 2:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Excelsior | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Utrecht | 2:1 | L |