Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins |
28.67%
±13.05%
|
2.70 | -22.6% |
| Draw |
29.27%
±1.78%
|
3.65 | +6.8% |
| Ajax wins |
42.06%
±13.87%
|
2.43 | +2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Utrecht
Ajax
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Utrecht
Ajax
Shots
14.3
15.2
Shots On Target
5.1
6.3
Corners
5.1
5.5
Fouls
10.4
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Utrecht
Ajax
Shots
8.4
15.9
Shots On Target
2.8
5.8
Corners
3.1
6.0
Fouls
10.1
10.6
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Utrecht Wins
3Draws
2Ajax Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2025 | Utrecht Win | 4:0 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Ajax Win | 2:0 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Utrecht Win | 4:3 |
| 21 May 2023 | Ajax Win | 3:1 |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Nijmegen | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 4:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Volendam | 3:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 3:2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:2 | D |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Twente | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | NAC Breda | 2:1 | W |