Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins |
27.48%
±16.72%
|
2.97 | -18.4% |
| Draw |
32.43%
±1.64%
|
3.38 | +9.6% |
| Uruguay wins |
40.09%
±17.99%
|
2.65 | +6.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mexico
Uruguay
Head-to-Head History
Mexico Wins
2Draws
0Uruguay Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2024 | Uruguay Win | 0:4 |
| 3 Jun 2022 | Uruguay Win | 0:3 |
| 8 Sep 2018 | Uruguay Win | 1:4 |
| 6 Jun 2016 | Mexico Win | 3:1 |
| 13 Jul 2011 | Uruguay Win | 1:0 |
Mexico - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | Ecuador | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Colombia | 0:4 | L |
| 10 Sep 2025 | South Korea | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Japan | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Jul 2025 | USA | 1:2 | W |
Uruguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2025 | Uzbekistan | 1:2 | W |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Dominican Republic | 1:0 | W |
| 2 Sep 2024 | Guatemala | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Canada | 2:3 | W |
| 11 Jul 2024 | Colombia | 0:1 | L |