Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins |
22.78%
±14.63%
|
3.53 | -19.6% |
| Draw |
31.54%
±3.06%
|
3.13 | -1.3% |
| Uruguay wins |
45.68%
±17.53%
|
2.35 | +7.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
USA
Uruguay
Head-to-Head History
USA Wins
0Draws
2Uruguay Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | Uruguay Win | 0:1 |
| 5 Jun 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 11 Sep 2019 | Draw | 1:1 |
USA - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Paraguay | 2:1 | W |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Australia | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Ecuador | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Sep 2025 | Japan | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2025 | South Korea | 0:2 | L |
Uruguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | Mexico | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Uzbekistan | 1:2 | W |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Dominican Republic | 1:0 | W |
| 2 Sep 2024 | Guatemala | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jul 2024 | Canada | 2:3 | W |