Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
5.09%
±3.44%
|
16.50 | -16.0% |
| Draw Top Bet |
17.55%
±4.55%
|
8.75 | +53.5% |
| Man City wins |
77.36%
±7.92%
|
1.15 | -11.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Man City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Man City
Shots
9.8
16.3
Shots On Target
3.2
5.7
Corners
4.4
6.5
Fouls
10.0
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Man City
Shots
5.6
17.5
Shots On Target
1.2
6.4
Corners
2.5
6.0
Fouls
8.2
7.2
Yellow Cards
1.1
0.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
0Draws
0Man City Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Man City Win | 5:1 |
| 31 Jan 2024 | Man City Win | 3:1 |
| 11 Aug 2023 | Man City Win | 0:3 |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Man City Win | 0:2 |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Man City Win | 2:0 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 4:1 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Brighton | 0:2 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Fulham | 3:1 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Bournemouth | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Everton | 2:0 | L |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Arsenal | 2:1 | W |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Chelsea | 0:3 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | West Ham | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 0:1 | W |