Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
20.63%
±10.68%
|
3.50 | -27.8% |
| Draw |
31.21%
±3.09%
|
3.80 | +18.6% |
| Man City wins |
48.17%
±13.33%
|
1.96 | -5.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Man City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newcastle
Man City
Shots
11.5
13.7
Shots On Target
3.7
5.3
Corners
5.5
5.9
Fouls
11.9
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Man City
Shots
8.0
16.5
Shots On Target
3.0
6.9
Corners
3.3
6.8
Fouls
11.5
7.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
0Draws
2Man City Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Man City Win | 4:0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Man City Win | 2:3 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Man City Win | 1:0 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Man City Win | 2:0 |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Brighton | 2:1 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 2:0 | W |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 0:1 | W |