Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
61.92%
±13.4%
|
1.40 | -13.3% |
| Draw |
24.44%
±5.54%
|
5.25 | +28.3% |
| Brighton wins |
13.64%
±8%
|
6.63 | -9.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Brighton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Brighton
Shots
14.6
14.5
Shots On Target
5.5
4.3
Corners
5.8
4.8
Fouls
10.8
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Brighton
Shots
13.3
10.8
Shots On Target
5.5
4.1
Corners
4.0
3.8
Fouls
9.7
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
5Draws
2Brighton Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Brighton Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Apr 2024 | Man City Win | 0:4 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Man City Win | 2:1 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 1:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:3 | W |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | West Ham | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 2:0 | L |