Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
59%
±11%
|
1.46 | -13.6% |
| Draw |
21%
±3%
|
5.00 | +5.4% |
| Newcastle wins |
20%
±8%
|
5.50 | +8.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Newcastle
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Man City
Newcastle
Shots
15.7
12.9
Shots On Target
5.4
4.6
Corners
6.5
6.1
Fouls
9.7
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Newcastle
Shots
17.1
8.2
Shots On Target
6.7
3.3
Corners
7.0
3.5
Fouls
7.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
7Draws
2Newcastle Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Newcastle Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Man City Win | 4:0 | English Premier League |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Premier League |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Man City Win | 2:3 | English Premier League |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Man City Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | Fulham | 3:0 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:0 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 2:3 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 4:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |